Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 8.009899 9.021646 10.073845 11.246643 12.514170 13.839674 15.327462
2024-10-13 6.635898 8.099197 9.705221 11.585643 13.713746 16.034627 18.744019
2024-10-20 5.506364 7.160538 9.053291 11.352378 14.042322 17.063592 20.686447
2024-10-27 4.523361 6.245714 8.294259 10.866459 13.965246 17.534825 21.912808
2024-11-03 4.056798 5.888074 8.136335 11.035042 14.607865 18.804010 24.038712
2024-11-10 3.674967 5.588797 8.008169 11.202963 15.221277 20.021100 26.097210
2024-11-17 3.227449 5.155247 7.667376 11.066208 15.428440 20.726457 27.529353
2024-11-24 2.909983 4.863985 7.481709 11.101112 15.829697 21.656072 29.229238
2024-12-01 2.606888 4.562309 7.255386 11.059056 16.114351 22.429532 30.733139
2024-12-08 2.351511 4.304435 7.066773 11.047663 16.423844 23.225588 32.263543
2024-12-15 2.312196 4.364201 7.319403 11.635659 17.526361 25.040827 35.093926
2024-12-22 2.103645 4.144380 7.157432 11.639268 17.843279 25.845214 36.647505
2024-12-29 2.057730 4.181886 7.374627 12.185487 18.911347 27.653035 39.527606
2025-01-05 1.954619 4.117844 7.436569 12.510916 19.684494 29.087882 41.949544
2025-01-12 1.719782 3.812006 7.114797 12.267161 19.661762 29.466552 43.001058
2025-01-19 1.449629 3.415863 6.626502 11.753102 19.238732 29.293601 43.317044
2025-01-26 1.355339 3.323759 6.608609 11.931427 19.787614 30.424978 45.354842
2025-02-02 1.268809 3.237335 6.593177 12.108990 20.334378 31.556743 47.402121
2025-02-09 1.129353 3.035111 6.374775 11.964385 20.408743 32.039963 48.585042
2025-02-16 1.034917 2.911036 6.278134 12.001295 20.742442 32.878486 50.248432
2025-02-23 0.935508 2.765491 6.135089 11.956822 20.950923 33.541727 51.677806
2025-03-02 0.850031 2.639220 6.016941 11.944773 21.202771 34.264146 53.190652
2025-03-09 0.863145 2.729974 6.287234 12.566342 22.412080 36.342109 56.571170